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Producer Prices Stall, Inflation Concerns Linger
17 Jul
Summary
- Producer-price index was flat last month
- Core PCE inflation rose to 2.7% in May
- Fed's next meeting seen as unlikely to cut rates

Last month, the producer-price index, a key indicator of inflation, remained flat, missing forecasts for a 0.2% rise. This data is closely watched by economists as it is used to calculate the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric, the personal-consumption expenditures price index. In May, core PCE inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, ticked up to 2.7%. Without more progress toward the Fed's 2% inflation target, a rate cut at the central bank's next meeting later this month is seen as unlikely. The stagnant producer prices and persistent inflation above the Fed's goal pose a challenge for policymakers as they navigate the delicate balance between supporting economic growth and controlling price pressures.